“Putin is too old for peace agreements” (American expert)
“It's now or never for him in Ukraine,” says Michael DiCianna, an American security expert and fellow at the Institute of World Politics.
Michael DiCianna estimates that the Russian leader has only 6 to 18 months to seize the Ukrainian territory he covets, making any meaningful peace negotiations unlikely.
“This urgency marks a significant shift from Putin's previous military campaigns in Ukraine in 2008 and 2014, when he demonstrated greater strategic patience. As Donald Trump's team prepares to promote peace talks, Putin's tight timetable could derail negotiations before they even begin, risking escalation of the war at a time when Western support for Ukraine is at stake,” he told Euromaidan.
This urgency could explain Russia's current military strategy. Russian forces are continuing their offensive despite heavy losses, particularly in the Pokrovsk region.
Mr. DiCianna warns that there's a “100% chance” that Russia will break any ceasefire agreement.
(MH with AmBar/Source: Euromaidan/Photo: Nguyen Dung/Pixabay)